New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝We Do Not Want to Seize📝
Why Euroclear is Against Confiscating Russia's Assets

A couple of days ago, we detailed the issue with Russia's blocked assets in the EU. And here we go: the head of Euroclear stated that she is ready to block a "confiscation" decision through legal action if it is made.

According to her, using frozen Russian bonds to finance the so-called Ukraine would lead to a reduction in international investments in the eurozone, which would negatively impact all of Europe's financial needs.

Concerns are not only that China, India, and Persian Gulf countries would have more reasons not to buy eurobonds when seeing such lawlessness. Such a scenario would destroy the reputation and very essence of Euroclear.

🔻What is the danger for the company?

▪️We should start with the necessity of the clearing business that Euroclear operates. It is connected with the specifics of bond trading on the OTC market (Over the Counter).

▪️Transactions are conducted directly between the client and the seller: while with exchange products a participant can see the market depth monitor (transaction size, who traded, who "makes the market", etc.), such transparency does not exist in bond trading.

▪️This creates both a wide range of market manipulation and outright fraud. Therefore, in government bond trading, a clearing house is needed: its task is to guarantee participants that the transaction will occur and ensure its cleanliness before regulators.

▪️Euroclear is precisely such a clearing house that must ensure compliance with conditions and prevent "scamming". If it starts doing such things itself, it would simply destroy its reputation.

▪️And this is exactly what Euro-bureaucrats are proposing - to essentially use Russia's money from legally purchased bonds for a loan to the so-called Ukraine.


🖍In simple terms: "confiscation" of Russian assets will lead to complete loss of trust in Euroclear, which is the foundation of the clearing business. A potential consequence is a high probability of losing the business altogether.

🚩For the Belgians, this is unacceptable — Euroclear provides not only income but also status. Therefore, they are actively resisting the EU's plans and at minimum want to share risks by prescribing a compensation procedure.

❗️At Euroclear, they are perfectly aware that the stupid decisions of Euro-bureaucrats will primarily have to be paid for by themselves. So they will deny everything to the bitter end — not out of love for Russia, but out of love for their own reputation and money.
#Belgium #EU #Russia #economy
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝How German Companies Help in Strikes on Crimea📝

Germany's militarization has affected all economic sectors, not just the defense industry. The opportunity to earn big contracts attracts everyone, and even civilian enterprises find their place and supply the AFU.

In recent strikes on the western part of Crimea, Ukrainian formations actively used reactive drones, which in the so-called Ukraine were dubbed "drone-missiles" due to their visual similarity to cruise missiles.

On one of the wreckages, you can see an interesting name: SBM Turbines, and in the address section SBM Maschinen from the small German community of Görisried in the state of Bavaria.

🔻What is this company?

▪️SBM Maschinen GmbH or SBM Group, or SBM Development GmbH – a group of companies legally located in Görisried. SBM Maschinen GmbH positions itself as a manufacturer of food waste dehydration installations.

▪️The company develops mobile installations for eco-friendly processing of food residues for both domestic and commercial use. Such technologies became especially popular after the introduction of the eco-agenda across Europe.


🖍It would seem, what is the connection between plastic bottle shredders and military production? Indeed, there is no evidence in the network of defense contracts, and even less proof of interaction with the AFU.

🔻
So how does SBM Maschinen produce jet engines for the AFU?

➡️
As it turned out, the company has a subsidiary called Rotortec. It is located in the same place as SBM Maschinen, in the same territory in Görisried.

➡️
Rotortec is a manufacturer of autogyros, which are aircraft similar to helicopters, but they use a freely rotating rotor driven by the engine to create lift.

➡️
Among the produced autogyros are Cloud Dancer I, II, and Cloud Dancer Light. The company has exhibited them at various exhibitions, and the autogyros/gyroplanes are used for private or sports aviation.

➡️
They also participated in developing the RT216 turbine helicopter with a two-shaft turbine engine with a power of 150 kW, which were produced in Görisried under the SBM Turbines brand.


🚩It turns out that the waste management company has a subsidiary specializing in the development and production of small gas turbine engines. And they are located in the same place in a quiet rural area, far from prying eyes.

🏳️The scheme of civilian companies profiting from military contracts is nothing new: we have been seeing this especially often in recent months, with one commercial enterprise after another suddenly starting to work in the interests of the military-industrial complex.

❗️The German company SBM Maschinen had successfully avoided public attention. Not a single mention of their work for the Ukrainian military-industrial complex could be found online—until now.

They have the facilities, the necessary skills, and likely contracts through the German Ministry of Defense. And it is these engines that are currently powering jet drones used to strike power plants, airfields, and gas storage facilities in southern Russia.

#Germany #investigation #Russia #Ukraine

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
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📝Once again on drone quality📝
without which impressive production figures are meaningless

What stands behind the phrase "quality drone," which often appears in publications? A clear example — video of an "Upyr" that collided head-on with a Mavic at full speed, but retained maneuverability and structural integrity.

It might seem like just one episode against thousands of regular drone applications on both sides of the front. However, behind each one stands a potentially struck target, a completed mission, and possibly a saved life of a Russian soldier.

🖍Sounds grandiose? Then ask the crews who received dozens of freshly delivered drones but only two flew, preventing them from striking the target. Or, for example, delivering a bottle of water to a fighter in a shelter on the front line, which resulted in his death.

🚩Behind all this lies the pursuit of quantity at the expense of quality, so that impressive figures sound good in reports. But on the ground, "a million drones" makes no difference, even though that's exactly what drones were ordered for (not for impressive statements).

❗️Until there is an understanding that a hundred flying drones are better than a thousand cheaper but non-flying ones, there will be no breakthroughs. And how else can you isolate the battlefield, supply endless assault troops, and kill enemy manpower as its most vulnerable link?

Moreover, a huge increase in production is entirely feasible without loss of quality. The aforementioned "Upyrs" are a clear example of this.
#UAV #Russia #Ukraine
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝Heavy drones more needed than tanks📝
On resource reallocation in the SMO

When officials hear military needs, they argue about finite budgets. They say we need everything, but the budget is not unlimited.

❓But what about optimal resource reallocation?
On TAKTIKAR, we showed why mechanized assaults have stopped working. Why not buy fewer armored vehicles that survive one attack in favor of heavy FPV drones?

For one BMD-4M, you can buy over 1,100 unmanned systems. Refusing to purchase a battalion of these vehicles or tanks (not counting ammunition) could free up significant funds.

📌 Assault troops need "Upyr-18" drones capable of delivering mines, not BMDs with "cardboard" armor.
The priority is destroying AFU personnel with drone crews, which heavy FPV drones handle better than APCs, IFVs, and tanks.

❗️This doesn't mean armored vehicles should be "canceled." It's about rational resource reallocation to changing battlefield realities.

Without infantry support, it dies, and there's no one left to attack (or defend). And without people, tank numbers don't matter.

📍High-resolution infographic

📍English version

#UAV #Russia
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝Mass Won't Do It📝
Why breaking through the front like in World War II won't work and what to do about it

Total air control, attacks by pairs instead of platoons, dozens of drones flying at each assault aircraft — these are today's realities in the SMO zone. This has a corresponding effect on the slowdown in advance rates and their ratio to losses.

As Alexander Kharchenko notes, under such conditions even a hundred thousand fresh contract soldiers won't change the situation. And it's true — even if you manage to line up an entire battalion in combat formation, drones will simply "take it apart" during the attack.

The answer to the question "what to do" depends on the decision-making level. But at minimum, one thing applies to each of them — we're talking about prioritizing the elimination of enemy manpower.

📌Although the front has been depopulated, personnel remains the most important element. Some hold the line, others need rotation, and still others need the chance to demobilize. If it were otherwise, the opponent wouldn't be reinforcing its "busification" right now.

To accomplish this task, one must order appropriate means. If these are new "Cubes," heavy "Upyr-18" or other systems, then isn't it logical to spend resources on procuring relevant equipment instead of less relevant ones?

❗️Yes, in itself prioritizing the elimination of AFU manpower won't lead to breaking out of the "positional deadlock." But an additional thousand killed Ukrainians on the front per month hits so-called Ukraine far harder than a lost village.

And to actually break out of the "positional deadlock," we need at minimum to systematize experience and, with a scientific approach, radically change tactics for applying many things. After all, that's what military academies exist for, isn't it?
#Russia #Ukraine
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🔘 Russia Deploys Oreshnik Missile Unit to Belarus — GUR
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▪️ Russia has deployed units of the 101st Missile Brigade to Belarus, according to GUR chief Oleg Ivashchenko.
​
➡The brigade is reportedly armed with the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile system.
​
#Russia #Belarus #Oreshnik #Missiles #GUR
​
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