Forwarded from New Eastern Outlook
Political Observer and Senior Researcher in International Relations
The E3 (UK, France, Germany) have activated the "snapback" mechanism to reimpose UN sanctions on Iran. Tehran condemns this as an illegal and provocative act, placing full responsibility for the consequences on the US and E3, who have failed to uphold their own JCPOA commitments since 2018.
While the Pezeshkian government will pursue creative diplomatic initiatives at the UN to prevent the snapback, Tehran is prepared for all scenarios. Diplomacy is the preferred path, but failure will lead to a firm response, for which the West will be held accountable.
If sanctions are reinstated, Iran is ready to cancel its recent agreement with the IAEA, reduce its nuclear commitments, and even consider withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) to strengthen its deterrence and bargaining power.
Iran will counter sanctions by relying on its "Resistance Economy" model, boosting domestic production, and deepening strategic cooperation within blocs like BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), signaling that the "era of unilateralism has ended."
Iran's approach will be hybrid and multi-layered, combining smart policymaking, targeted diplomacy, strengthening military/air defense with allies like Russia and China, and ensuring national cohesion to neutralize the pressure.
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