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πŸ’° FDV Recap: Who Launched in July?

The first month of Q3 is wrapping up β€” and despite low expectations, it delivered some solid drops.


Here’s a quick look at the most notable July launches and how their FDVs are holding up:

➑️ Aspecta ($ASP)
β€’ Raised: $3.5M
β€’ FDV at TGE: $497.5M
β€’ Peak FDV: $497.5M
β€’ Current: $197.14M

➑️ Pump.fun ($PUMP)
β€’ Raised: $720M
β€’ FDV at TGE: $7B
β€’ Peak FDV: $9B
β€’ Current: $2.39B

➑️ Ika ($IKA)
β€’ Raised: $10M
β€’ FDV at TGE: $274.6M
β€’ Peak FDV: $336.2M
β€’ Current: $325.59M

➑️ Treehouse ($TREE)
β€’ Raised: $20.4M
β€’ FDV at TGE: $1.07B
β€’ Peak FDV: $1.28B
β€’ Current: $1.19B

Not a huge wave of launches β€” but definitely an active month.
Let’s see if August brings more fuel to the fire.


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πŸ’  A few thoughts on TON

The CEO of Ton Foundation hinted that August will be "hot" for the token β€” but with a major unlock coming soon, that’s a hard sell.

Still, one thing worth noting: TON Space was recently made available in the U.S., and the token saw a slight bump.

❗Previously blocked due to regulatory issues, the U.S. opening is significant β€” it’s one of the toughest crypto jurisdictions out there.

TON will either be at $5... or back to $2.


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JUST IN: Scott Bessent, the US Treasury Secretary, has released a document titled "The road map to making America a crypto superpower".
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JUST IN: The Fed keeps rates steady at 4.25-4.5%.
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JUST IN: The White House has released a report on digital assets, indicating plans to "develop strategies" to acquire more Bitcoin for the Reserve.
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πŸ’₯Powell wipes out $211M in longs in just 1 hour

The Fed Chair’s comments triggered a sharp move across the board, liquidating over $211M in long positions.


➑️ $BTC – $50.4M
➑️ $ETH – $47.07M
➑️ $SOL – $20.5M
➑️ $XRP – $9.68M

A reminder: macro still sets the tone.


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The hardest part isn’t buying early.

It’s holding when it feels stupid.

Conviction looks like doubt until it works.

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πŸ’£ Monero is Under Attack β€” Not by Code, but by Incentives

Monero isn’t being hacked β€” it’s being bought.


A mining pool called Qubic, run by IOTA cofounder Sergey Ivancheglo, is quietly accumulating hashrate by overpaying miners in its own token, QUBIC, while keeping the real XMR.

The goal? Reach 51% hashrate and control the network.

➑️How the attack works:

🟒Miners get paid in QUBIC, not XMR
🟒Qubic hoards XMR and burns QUBIC to pump its price
🟒More miners join as rewards rise
🟒Qubic gains control without writing a single line of malicious code

➑️If Qubic crosses 51%, they can:

🟒 Censor or delay transactions
🟒 Reverse blocks
🟒 Force protocol changes
🟒 Undermine Monero’s privacy guarantees

And it only costs ~$10K/day β€” cheaper than banner ads.

➑️Why Monero is vulnerable:

🟒 Mobile CPU miners (RandomX)
🟒 Fixed low block rewards (0.6 XMR)
🟒 Zero-fee network
🟒 Good usage, but poor economic defense

➑️What the community is doing:

🟒 Promoting P2Pool
🟒 Advising 13 confirmations
🟒 Considering a hard fork
🟒 Issuing public warnings

This is a new kind of attack β€” economic, not technical.

If Monero can be bought, it can be broken.
Privacy can’t survive without strong incentives.


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Forwarded from Trade Watcher
πŸ“ˆ M2 and BTC: Same liquidity, different names?

While CT argues about global liquidity vs M2, some forget they're often saying the same thing.

🟑 M2 was already showing β€œhigher” before recent liquidity revisions
🟑 BTC tends to front-run these shifts β€” just like last time
🟑 This correlation won’t last forever, but while it holds… bears are in trouble

One chart. Two signals. Same destination.


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πŸ“ˆ Bitcoin enters euphoria zone

Unrealized profit as a % of Bitcoin market cap just broke above the +2Οƒ level β€” a threshold historically linked to market euphoria.

➑️ Similar patterns preceded major ATHs
➑️ Signals heightened investor optimism
➑️ Also suggests rising risk of distribution

Euphoria feels good β€” until it doesn’t.


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JUST IN: Donald Trump criticizes Jerome Powell, claiming he is "too late, too angry, too stupid, and too political" to be the Federal Reserve Chair.
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JUST IN: Circle reveals that native USDC and CCTP V2 will soon be available on Hyperliquid.
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πŸ“‰ How to Sell Near the Top β€” Before the Crash

When the market’s booming, it’s tempting to hold forever. But data often hints it’s time to trim.

Here’s a clear list of signals that smart sellers watch before things unwind β€” from macro to onchain to social cues.

➑️ Macro: parabolic charts, overheated funding, retail interest, greed index in the 80–90 zone

➑️ Onchain: whales sending to CEXs, weak user growth, unlock schedules, drying up stablecoin inflows

➑️ Social: normies asking how to buy, viral slogans, Γ—10 pumps in trash coins, delusional team posts

➑️ Execution: set exit targets early, sell in parts, avoid rotating into trash, stay rational and question sector valuations

Don’t aim for the exact top. Define your exits before you’re euphoric β€” and protect the capital that took years to build.


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JUST IN: Tether has earned $2.6 billion this year from its bitcoin and gold reserves.
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πŸ’€ Greed killed the exit

In 2021, a trader bought a rare 1/1 NFT for $600K.
A few weeks later, he turned down a $2M offer, aiming for $10M instead.

➑️ Today, the top bid on OpenSea is just €0.05

Every cycle has its lesson. This one’s about exits.


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JUST IN: The SEC has initiated 'Project Crypto' aiming to establish America as the β€œcrypto capital of the world.”
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JUST IN: SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins revealed "Project Crypto" to update crypto market regulations.

β€’ The initiative addresses asset classification and issuance.
β€’ It includes guidelines for tokenization, custody, and trading.
β€’ Plans integrate securities and non-securities markets.
β€’ Focuses on super-app access and DeFi compliance.
β€’ Provides for innovation exemptions.

This move could significantly impact crypto market dynamics, influencing investor strategies and regulatory compliance costs.
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