JUST IN: The odds of Bitcoin reaching $85K in November have climbed to 50% on Polymarket.
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JUST IN: The Bitcoin X account has begun storm chasing amid a BTC price dump.
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JUST IN: Bitcoin plunged to new lows following record outflows of $523 million from BlackRock's ETF, according to market reports.
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JUST IN: The odds that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December have risen to 66% on Polymarket.
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JUST IN: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev states that money will remain important even with artificial superintelligence, noting that scarce assets like prime real estate, front-row concert tickets, and NFTs with good provenance will continue to hold value.
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The worst investments are made in the best of times.
The best investments are made in the worst of times.
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The best investments are made in the worst of times.
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Since late October, BTC on Coinbase has been trading cheaper than on Binance. That usually happens when big players are selling, not buying. Even yesterday’s bounce from 89K to 93.5K came with BlackRock posting a record 523M outflow from its ETF.
The main source of pressure is the unwind of a large hedge fund trade. For the past year many funds were short MSTR and long BTC through ETFs. They entered this setup when the MicroStrategy premium was extremely high and rode it down as the stock fell 45 to 60 percent.
Now the trade is finishing. Funds are closing their MSTR shorts and selling the BTC side at the same time. Even if the BTC leg is at a loss, the overall structure stayed profitable because the short made far more.
MicroStrategy started to rebound yesterday which suggests the unwind is close to done. Once these positions clear, the selling pressure linked to this trade should ease.
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JUST IN: Polymarket is seeking to raise more funds at a $12 billion valuation, higher than its previous $10 billion round, according to Bloomberg.
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In the last two bull markets, the strongest part of the move came in Q4 of the post-halving year. That’s when Bitcoin usually exploded upward and extended the rally.
While previous cycles surged into year-end, 2025 is showing weakness instead.
A reminder that this market isn’t behaving like 2017 or 2021 and the playbook needs adjusting.
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JUST IN: FG Nexus, an Ethereum DAO, sold 10,922 ETH to fund share buybacks and now holds 40,005 ETH remaining, per a recent filing.
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JUST IN: MEGAETH is opening a bridge for pre-deposits of USDC, capped at $250 million, with depositors receiving USDM and inclusion in the rewards campaign, according to the press release.
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JUST IN: The United Kingdom has launched its first major cryptocurrency investigation, arresting two men in connection with a $28 million NFT sale on Basis Markets, marking the start of large-scale crypto prosecutions.
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JUST IN: The odds of Bitcoin reaching $85,000 in November have now exceeded 60% on Polymarket.
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JUST IN: The stock price of Strategy has declined by more than 40% this year.
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A fresh round of the AI trading competition has kicked off. Last season, the Chinese models took the crown with the strongest performance across the board.
● Chinese AI models dominated the previous season
● Early leader is Gemini
● Last season it nearly wiped its entire balance
● Looks like the model learned something and came back stronger
The opening results already hint that this season won’t be boring.
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JUST IN: The NASDAQ 100 Index has recorded eight consecutive 15-minute red candles, signaling a sharp intraday decline.
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JUST IN: Polymarket odds that Monad's fully diluted valuation will exceed $3 billion at launch have fallen below 50% for the first time, amid the project's ICO reaching 80% filled and premarket perpetuals trading 20% below the sale price.
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JUST IN: Jefferies, an investment bank, reports that Tether, a major stablecoin issuer, now ranks among the world's largest non-central bank holders of gold, according to CoinDesk.
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It feels too late to short crypto, but still way too early to long.
The worst position for the markets to be in.
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The worst position for the markets to be in.
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