Mom, how did we get so poor?

Your dad got liquidated in 2025

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Only on CT lol

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Guess its that time in the cycle again.

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This user is back after making some insane predictions in the past that all came true.

He is now predicting a huge crypto supercycle.

Are you ready?

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Eric Trump said Q4 will be unbelievable for our crypto bags.

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⚡️ Crypto Watchlist for the week

➡️ $LINK - The first-ever spot Chainlink ETF is expected to launch next week

➡️ $AVAIL - Avail will launch Avail Nexus Mainnet, a coordination layer that eliminates the need for bridging, very soon

➡️ $HYPE - Hyperliquid's first team token unlock will happen on Nov. 29

➡️ $MON - Monad mainnet launches tomorrow

➡️ $SOLV - Solv Protocol will go live on Solana tomorrow

➡️ $HUMA - Huma Finance just launched a limited-time deposit campaign offering 14-20% APY on stablecoins

➡️ $ARB - Arbitrum's community event in Hong Kong is scheduled for Nov. 26

➡️ MegaETH - MegaETH Pre-Deposit Bridge launches on Nov. 25

➡️ Lighter - Lighter teased a major announcement for the next days

➡️ $LDO - Lido will release Lido V3 in November

➡️ $CAKE - Pancakeswap will make a big announcement soon

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📉 Navigating a Bitcoin Bear Market

The market has clearly shifted into risk off mode. Bitcoin topped early, ahead of equities, and is now about 30% below its all time high.

The rally window played out exactly where it should have, and now the real work begins: patience, discipline, and planning.

🧠 The mindset

A bear market isn’t about hero buys or perfect timing. It’s about choosing an approach you can stick to.
HODLing works if your fiat needs are met and you can stomach deep drawdowns.
DCA works if you prefer steady accumulation without overthinking entries.
A hybrid works if you scale in based on volatility spikes, sentiment collapses, or liquidity events.
Whatever you choose, consistency matters more than precision.

🕔 Timing and cycles

Bitcoin still behaves like a cyclical, time based asset built around halvings.
If cycles hold, the macro bottom likely sits around early Q4 2026.
This doesn’t mean you wait until then. It means you avoid rushing into full exposure too early and let time structure your expectations.
If the cycle shortens, signals will show it.

💰 Parking cash while waiting

While rates remain above 3 percent, safe yield exists.
SGOV, WEEK, SHV and other short duration treasury ETFs act as cash alternatives.
On chain options like AAVE or Kamino offer higher yield with higher risk.
Some platforms pay on parked USDC.
The goal is simple: preserve purchasing power while staying liquid for re entry.

🔎 Signs of a real bottom

There’s never one perfect signal, but confluence gives confidence.
● time: more than nine months from the ATH
● momentum: weekly RSI under 40 and flattening
● sentiment: despair, forced sellers, big names capitulating
● events: the “FTX moment” of the cycle
● structure: reclaiming the 50 week EMA or long term VWAP
● beta: MSTR back above its 200 day SMA

Bottoms form slowly. You don’t need to nail the exact day.
Buying reclaim signals often beats trying to catch falling knives.

Bitcoin rewards patience and discipline. It punishes impatience and size errors.
Protect your liquidity, don’t over leverage, and let the market finish its reset.
The next wave always comes, the key is still being here when it does.

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Crypto bros are like:

"No, I don't want a 3-5x return by buying btc"

So they take a -99% return instead.

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📈 Arthur Hayes on the Next Bitcoin Move

Dollar liquidity is starting to improve. The Fed ends QT on December 1, and US banks expanded credit again in November. Hayes sees this shift supporting a sideways Bitcoin range between 80K and 90K.

➡️ What He Expects Next

● A quick move toward 80K is still possible
● He thinks 80K should hold as support
● The market likely chops through the rest of the year

🕯 How He Would Position

● Small accumulation is fine at these levels
● Keep the big ammo for early 2026
● Wait for liquidity to properly turn before sizing up

The message is simple: expect volatility, but don’t expect a structural breakdown unless liquidity worsens again.

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