Crypto Insider
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This user is back after making some insane predictions in the past that all came true.
He is now predicting a huge crypto supercycle.
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He is now predicting a huge crypto supercycle.
Are you ready?
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Short term holders just sent about 62.4K BTC to exchanges at a loss. Thatβs classic fear driven behaviour and usually marks the emotional end of a move, not the beginning. Hereβs the rest of the picture.
ETF balances are now down about 4.66B from their peak. Investors are exiting fast and the pattern lines up with the March correction.
Net taker volume was hitting negative 100M per hour at the worst point. Now it sits near negative 21M which shows sellers losing momentum.
The early drop came from real selling. The final leg was a clean leverage flush that wiped out open interest across the board.
USDC inflows to exchanges hit about 4.55B in the last day which is the highest on any recent dip. Thatβs real dry powder preparing to deploy.
Panic selling is here.
Leverage has been cleared.
Stablecoin ammo is rising.
Downside is always possible but the longer this structure holds, the more the upside starts to carry the better risk profile.
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Jackie Chan will play Changpeng Zhao in the upcoming Netflix biographical documentary βCrypto Kingpinβ.
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The market has clearly shifted into risk off mode. Bitcoin topped early, ahead of equities, and is now about 30% below its all time high.
The rally window played out exactly where it should have, and now the real work begins: patience, discipline, and planning.
A bear market isnβt about hero buys or perfect timing. Itβs about choosing an approach you can stick to.
HODLing works if your fiat needs are met and you can stomach deep drawdowns.
DCA works if you prefer steady accumulation without overthinking entries.
A hybrid works if you scale in based on volatility spikes, sentiment collapses, or liquidity events.
Whatever you choose, consistency matters more than precision.
Bitcoin still behaves like a cyclical, time based asset built around halvings.
If cycles hold, the macro bottom likely sits around early Q4 2026.
This doesnβt mean you wait until then. It means you avoid rushing into full exposure too early and let time structure your expectations.
If the cycle shortens, signals will show it.
While rates remain above 3 percent, safe yield exists.
SGOV, WEEK, SHV and other short duration treasury ETFs act as cash alternatives.
On chain options like AAVE or Kamino offer higher yield with higher risk.
Some platforms pay on parked USDC.
The goal is simple: preserve purchasing power while staying liquid for re entry.
Thereβs never one perfect signal, but confluence gives confidence.
β time: more than nine months from the ATH
β momentum: weekly RSI under 40 and flattening
β sentiment: despair, forced sellers, big names capitulating
β events: the βFTX momentβ of the cycle
β structure: reclaiming the 50 week EMA or long term VWAP
β beta: MSTR back above its 200 day SMA
Bottoms form slowly. You donβt need to nail the exact day.
Buying reclaim signals often beats trying to catch falling knives.
Bitcoin rewards patience and discipline. It punishes impatience and size errors.
Protect your liquidity, donβt over leverage, and let the market finish its reset.
The next wave always comes, the key is still being here when it does.
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Crypto bros are like:
So they take a -99% return instead.
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"No, I don't want a 3-5x return by buying btc"
So they take a -99% return instead.
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Crypto isnβt selling off in a vacuum. The move is coming from the Dollar Index turning back up since mid September. When DXY rises, global liquidity tightens and bitcoin usually takes the hit first.
If youβre a bull, the signal is simple:
You want to see DXY roll over again.
Until the dollar weakens, upside in crypto stays capped.
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Dollar liquidity is starting to improve. The Fed ends QT on December 1, and US banks expanded credit again in November. Hayes sees this shift supporting a sideways Bitcoin range between 80K and 90K.
β A quick move toward 80K is still possible
β He thinks 80K should hold as support
β The market likely chops through the rest of the year
β Small accumulation is fine at these levels
β Keep the big ammo for early 2026
β Wait for liquidity to properly turn before sizing up
The message is simple: expect volatility, but donβt expect a structural breakdown unless liquidity worsens again.
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JUST IN: The Texas Blockchain Council announced that Texas has become the first U.S. state to invest in Bitcoin by allocating $10 million to BlackRock's IBIT ETF. This move highlights increasing state-level adoption of cryptocurrency assets.
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