Executive Summary of Key Developments in Iran – Tuesday Morning, 13 January
Iran has descended into an organized blackout. The purpose of this blackout is not merely “security control,” but the concealment of the truth. The widespread shutdown of the internet, paralysis of communications, unprecedented closure of media outlets, and intimidation of journalists and witnesses all point to one objective: preventing the observation, documentation, and pursuit of a major, historic crime.
In a country where the authorities deliberately obstruct access to information, arriving at a reliable assessment is difficult and time-consuming. Hastily releasing incomplete casualty figures could have led to errors in recording reality and a distortion of the magnitude of this tragedy. Since Sunday, however, the volume of evidence and convergence of accounts has reached a level that allows for a comparatively clearer picture.
Over the past two days, information received from:
a source close to the Supreme National Security Council,
two sources within the Office of the President,
several sources within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in Mashhad, Kermanshah, and Isfahan,
eyewitnesses and families of the deceased,
field reports,
data from medical facilities,
and information provided by physicians and nurses in multiple cities,
has been assessed and cross-checked. On the basis of this assessment we conclude that:
In the largest mass killing in Iran’s modern history, primarily over two consecutive nights, Thursday and Friday, 18 and 19 Dey, at least 12,000 people were killed.
In terms of geographic spread, level of violence, and number of victims within such a short timeframe, this event is unprecedented in Iran’s history.
These civilians were primarily killed by forces of the IRGC and the Basij.
The killings were fully organized; they were not the result of “sporadic clashes” or unplanned violence.
The operation was carried out on the orders of Ali Khamenei, with the knowledge and explicit approval of the heads of the three branches of government, and pursuant to direct-fire orders issued by the Supreme National Security Council.
Many of the victims were young people under the age of 30.
Developments in Fooladshahr, Isfahan
Residents report extremely large crowds in recent days. Security forces opened fire on people using machine guns and military weapons. According to these accounts, at least 17 demonstrators were killed in Fooladshahr. Other incidents include fires at the Tax Office, several banks, and the seminary in Fooladshahr.
Across the country, approximately 90% of shops are closed; about 10% operate only until mid-afternoon (3–4 p.m.).
The National Blood Transfusion Organization announced on Monday that the country’s blood reserves have fallen.
In most Iranian cities, security forces have blocked streets with concrete barriers and taken control with large numbers of armed personnel. Nevertheless, protests are continuously growing in size and scope.
At Behesht-e Zahra cemetery in Tehran, the grounds are crowded; families are burying their loved ones, many carrying coffins while chanting slogans including “Death to Khamenei” and “Khamenei, murderer — we will bury you.”
Assessment
Iran stands on the brink of a major upheaval and an explosive transformation.
https://x.com/Goftaniha/status/2011023773084848133?s=20

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