Forwarded from Robin Monotti
The #BAYESTHEOREM thread.
Or the real reason why they want to mass test all of the UK twice a week:
The real reason for 2 tests a week for all with no symptoms is to create a pseudoepidemic of false positives through #BAYESTHEOREM
The mass school testing failed: not enough tests to have enough false positives to scare the population. So they are trying another strategy: mass testing twice a week the entire population who is willing! They will of course blame the SCARIANTS 😱 and give them silly geographical names of "enemy" countries and all that..
https://archive.is/v0gZR
Or the real reason why they want to mass test all of the UK twice a week:
The real reason for 2 tests a week for all with no symptoms is to create a pseudoepidemic of false positives through #BAYESTHEOREM
The mass school testing failed: not enough tests to have enough false positives to scare the population. So they are trying another strategy: mass testing twice a week the entire population who is willing! They will of course blame the SCARIANTS 😱 and give them silly geographical names of "enemy" countries and all that..
https://archive.is/v0gZR
archive.is
Thread by @robinmonotti on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App
archived 24 Dec 2020 19:34:42 UTC
"Large-volume screening at a time of low prevalence has the potential to do more harm than good and some large-scale screening strategies should be temporarily suspended when prevalence is very low. These strategies are likely to be of greater benefit in interrupting transmission during periods of high prevalence and we propose that they are re-instated when the prevalence in the community or particular settings warrant such an approach.
Careful interpretation of laboratory results is also required at all times, particularly in the context of screening asymptomatic individuals and cohorting positive patients. Low-level positive results in a single gene need to be interpreted with caution based on the clinical context. The Ct value can also provide useful information when assessing results and Clinicians need to become familiar with the interpretation of these results. Results should also be conveyed detailing the number of genes positive and the Ct value - not simply in a binary fashion (positive or negative).
False positive results are proportionally more of an issue when prevalence is low. Prevalence is a measure of how common a disease is in a specified at-risk population at a specific time point or period.5 It measures the disease burden for the specified population.5 Prevalence affects the pre-test probability of a disease being present and consequently impacts on the positive predictive value (PPV; the probability that subjects with a positive test truly have the disease) and the negative predictive value (NPV; the probability that subjects with a negative test truly do not have the disease).3 As the prevalence increases, the PPV increases but the NPV decreases. Similarly, as the prevalence decreases the PPV decreases while the NPV increases.3 The adverse outcomes associated with false positive results will be proportionally greater during periods of low prevalence.3 However, the individual impact of false positive results are significant at all times."
The impact of false positive COVID-19 results in an area of low prevalence
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7850182/
Careful interpretation of laboratory results is also required at all times, particularly in the context of screening asymptomatic individuals and cohorting positive patients. Low-level positive results in a single gene need to be interpreted with caution based on the clinical context. The Ct value can also provide useful information when assessing results and Clinicians need to become familiar with the interpretation of these results. Results should also be conveyed detailing the number of genes positive and the Ct value - not simply in a binary fashion (positive or negative).
False positive results are proportionally more of an issue when prevalence is low. Prevalence is a measure of how common a disease is in a specified at-risk population at a specific time point or period.5 It measures the disease burden for the specified population.5 Prevalence affects the pre-test probability of a disease being present and consequently impacts on the positive predictive value (PPV; the probability that subjects with a positive test truly have the disease) and the negative predictive value (NPV; the probability that subjects with a negative test truly do not have the disease).3 As the prevalence increases, the PPV increases but the NPV decreases. Similarly, as the prevalence decreases the PPV decreases while the NPV increases.3 The adverse outcomes associated with false positive results will be proportionally greater during periods of low prevalence.3 However, the individual impact of false positive results are significant at all times."
The impact of false positive COVID-19 results in an area of low prevalence
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7850182/
PubMed Central (PMC)
The impact of false positive COVID-19 results in an area of low prevalence
False negative results in COVID-19 testing are well recognised and frequently discussed. False positive results, while less common and less frequently discussed, still have several adverse implications, including potential exposure of a non-infected person…
Why my main account was suspended? @Bobby_Network suspended shortly after.
Forwarded from Eshani King
Hypnotherapists have been noticing blatant hypnosis and NLP techniques being used by the government and state-controlled media:
👉 Fractionation:
You get them to do something not once, but again and again, increasing the level of intensity each time. Usually you do it 3 times. (At the first lockdown I said - watch out, there'll be a 2nd and a 3rd!) This increases compliance - you're much more likely to get them to do whatever you want.
👉 A 'Yes' set:
Get them to say 'Yes' to something small at first (just two weeks to "flatten the curve") then gradually increase (months of lockdown, Christmas cancelled, socially/economically coerced into vaccines). In this way they're much more likely to keep saying yes. (There would've been riots if they'd said in March lockdowns will carry on through Christmas.)
👉 Confusion:
Keep them in a constant state of uncertainty. The conscious mind responds to this by 'going offline' as it searches for the appropriate response for something it has no precedent for. Then it's much easier for the manipulator to gain access to the unconscious mind and change belief systems. For example, lockdown rules are changing on practically a day-to-day basis; we're living in a world we've never lived in before, everyone's stumbling about with no idea how to behave. We've no energy left to fight our oppressors.
👉 Repetition:
Repeat the same information over and over (see any newspaper / TV news for evidence of this!)
👉 Illusion of Choice
Make them believe they're in control by giving them 2 choices, both of which lead to the same result. For example, 'Do you want the Pfeizer or the Oxford?' or 'You can choose to be good or bad. Bad = more lockdown. Good = more lockdown.'
👉 "Social Proof"
"Look, all these great celebrities are backing it!"
👉 "Scarcity"
"You'll have to wait your turn for the vaccine... we might be running out!"
And so many more... All classic psychological control techniques. Once you see it, you can't un-see it!
Check out the book 'Influence', The Power of Persuasion' by Robert Cialdini - all the methods he talks about are being used daily in the news and other media.'
The organisation to go and look at that's doing all this is The Behavioural Insights Team and SPI-B , these same techniques are being used all over the globe by their respective "Teams". The UK Column have done a lot of work exposing this and other dangerous fifth column organisations like Common Purpose, who are also global.
Behavioural Insights Team - Mindspace Doc. https://www.bi.team/publications/mindspace/
Article- The Psychological Attack On the UK, UK Column - https://www.ukcolumn.org/article/psychological-attack-uk
Here is the literature that is given out by the NHS for convincing cohorts
https://www.local.gov.uk/sites/default/files/documents/Vaccination%20do%20and%20donts%20by%20audience%20cohorts.pdf?fbclid=IwAR3WW2sjLr-9X_kLQxfi2IAS9_Imi4qAOEQfvR_izajIP5MZ9xN4t0KUo1o
👉 Fractionation:
You get them to do something not once, but again and again, increasing the level of intensity each time. Usually you do it 3 times. (At the first lockdown I said - watch out, there'll be a 2nd and a 3rd!) This increases compliance - you're much more likely to get them to do whatever you want.
👉 A 'Yes' set:
Get them to say 'Yes' to something small at first (just two weeks to "flatten the curve") then gradually increase (months of lockdown, Christmas cancelled, socially/economically coerced into vaccines). In this way they're much more likely to keep saying yes. (There would've been riots if they'd said in March lockdowns will carry on through Christmas.)
👉 Confusion:
Keep them in a constant state of uncertainty. The conscious mind responds to this by 'going offline' as it searches for the appropriate response for something it has no precedent for. Then it's much easier for the manipulator to gain access to the unconscious mind and change belief systems. For example, lockdown rules are changing on practically a day-to-day basis; we're living in a world we've never lived in before, everyone's stumbling about with no idea how to behave. We've no energy left to fight our oppressors.
👉 Repetition:
Repeat the same information over and over (see any newspaper / TV news for evidence of this!)
👉 Illusion of Choice
Make them believe they're in control by giving them 2 choices, both of which lead to the same result. For example, 'Do you want the Pfeizer or the Oxford?' or 'You can choose to be good or bad. Bad = more lockdown. Good = more lockdown.'
👉 "Social Proof"
"Look, all these great celebrities are backing it!"
👉 "Scarcity"
"You'll have to wait your turn for the vaccine... we might be running out!"
And so many more... All classic psychological control techniques. Once you see it, you can't un-see it!
Check out the book 'Influence', The Power of Persuasion' by Robert Cialdini - all the methods he talks about are being used daily in the news and other media.'
The organisation to go and look at that's doing all this is The Behavioural Insights Team and SPI-B , these same techniques are being used all over the globe by their respective "Teams". The UK Column have done a lot of work exposing this and other dangerous fifth column organisations like Common Purpose, who are also global.
Behavioural Insights Team - Mindspace Doc. https://www.bi.team/publications/mindspace/
Article- The Psychological Attack On the UK, UK Column - https://www.ukcolumn.org/article/psychological-attack-uk
Here is the literature that is given out by the NHS for convincing cohorts
https://www.local.gov.uk/sites/default/files/documents/Vaccination%20do%20and%20donts%20by%20audience%20cohorts.pdf?fbclid=IwAR3WW2sjLr-9X_kLQxfi2IAS9_Imi4qAOEQfvR_izajIP5MZ9xN4t0KUo1o
MY: This is a brilliant piece by Kevin McKernan, in which he pulls the legs & wings off our rotten PCR testing system.
It’s good to read a blunt assessment from a respected industry expert in this field.
Best wishes
Mike
“Boris Johnson said his ‘moonshot’ plan of mass testing, with most of the test subjects being asymptomatic, was a sure way to save lives and let those who test negative resume theirs. McKernan believes the opposite is happening.
“He’s not saving them, he is killing them. And the reason he is killing them is the entire PCR pipeline has shifted to testing people who don’t get sick. And that comes at the expense of people not getting access to cancer tests. The PCR pipelines are all dependent on the same core reagents. When you force that much testing on to a group of people who don’t get sick you starve the testing for the other people. I don’t think they care what the consequences are. They probably don’t bother reading too much deeper into this chain reaction to hell they create when they do this. They scaled up PCR 300 fold this year and there is no way you do that without turning the clamps on other parts of the industry. We [Medical Genomics] have trouble getting PCR testing reagents because everyone who provides them for us tells us, ‘Sorry we have a Government mandate to fill this huge billion dollar [Covid testing] order and they are paying 10 times higher than you are so we are going to focus on that.’ But you’re not saving anybody with this, you are just creating droughts in allb the other parts of the diagnostic industry”
https://lockdownsceptics.org/pcr-expert-uks-testing-system-is-a-mess-monopolising-prc-for-covid-is-killing-people-and-matt-hancock-is-moronic/
It’s good to read a blunt assessment from a respected industry expert in this field.
Best wishes
Mike
“Boris Johnson said his ‘moonshot’ plan of mass testing, with most of the test subjects being asymptomatic, was a sure way to save lives and let those who test negative resume theirs. McKernan believes the opposite is happening.
“He’s not saving them, he is killing them. And the reason he is killing them is the entire PCR pipeline has shifted to testing people who don’t get sick. And that comes at the expense of people not getting access to cancer tests. The PCR pipelines are all dependent on the same core reagents. When you force that much testing on to a group of people who don’t get sick you starve the testing for the other people. I don’t think they care what the consequences are. They probably don’t bother reading too much deeper into this chain reaction to hell they create when they do this. They scaled up PCR 300 fold this year and there is no way you do that without turning the clamps on other parts of the industry. We [Medical Genomics] have trouble getting PCR testing reagents because everyone who provides them for us tells us, ‘Sorry we have a Government mandate to fill this huge billion dollar [Covid testing] order and they are paying 10 times higher than you are so we are going to focus on that.’ But you’re not saving anybody with this, you are just creating droughts in allb the other parts of the diagnostic industry”
https://lockdownsceptics.org/pcr-expert-uks-testing-system-is-a-mess-monopolising-prc-for-covid-is-killing-people-and-matt-hancock-is-moronic/
The Daily Sceptic
PCR Expert: UK's Testing System is a Mess, Monopolising PCR For Covid is Killing People and Matt Hancock is Moronic – The Daily…
by Oliver May AFTER Panorama’s exposé last week of cross-contamination […]
Forwarded from Mike Yeadon
https://fb.watch/4H9_3IRK7R/
A discussion today between Mike Yeadon & Willem Engel.
I hope of interest to some,
Mike Y
A discussion today between Mike Yeadon & Willem Engel.
I hope of interest to some,
Mike Y
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My THIRD twitter account. Both my other accounts currently suspended.
https://twitter.com/robinmonotti3/status/1379374153636196353?s=19
https://twitter.com/robinmonotti3/status/1379374153636196353?s=19
Twitter
Robin Monotti MA FRSA🌸
URGENT: BOTH @robinmonotti and @robinmonottibis accounts currently suspended. The anti-science book burning continues
Forwarded from Coronavirus Plushie
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
ROUND TABLE DISCUSSION: FACE MASKS HAVE NOT ONLY BEEN INEFFECTIVE, THEY'VE BEEN HARMFUL
Roundtable discussion on public health,
18 March, 2021,
Discussing the effectiveness of wearing face masks.
Participants are Ron DeSantis, Scott Atlas, Martin Kuldorff, Sunetra Gupta and Jay Bhattacharya.
Video in Bitchute:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/kAtuHVT94S2b/
……………………………………………................................
Roundtable discussion on public health,
18 March, 2021,
Discussing the effectiveness of wearing face masks.
Participants are Ron DeSantis, Scott Atlas, Martin Kuldorff, Sunetra Gupta and Jay Bhattacharya.
Video in Bitchute:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/kAtuHVT94S2b/
……………………………………………................................
"Why we need a Covid Nuremberg Trial"
"Questions would necessarily be asked about decisions to remove elderly ‘bed-blockers’ from NHS facilities into private ‘care homes’, about who issued clinical instructions not to use cheap and proven treatments, such as Ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine, and who decided to force experimental and unproven medical treatments on to the entire population and to deny liberty and freedom to those who resist.
Matters of state corruption must surely be examined, looking at how many excess deaths have there really been? What happened to influenza? How many identified reporting ‘errors’ does it take before a top official resigns? How long should ‘Test and Trace’ be allowed to fail before someone steps down?
Would the police or fraud investigators be able to establish who is benefiting from vaccine development and production? How many contracts for testing kits, PPE, handwash, and hotel quarantine rooms have been awarded to cronies and family contacts of politicians?
State corruption is unquestionably on the rise, without a whimper from opposition parties, and apparently with the collusion of the media, whose practitioners conduct their ‘business’ with wilful ignorance and craven compliance. Anybody who dares to speak truth to power is a Covid or vaccine denier, a covidiot or a granny killer.
A thoroughgoing investigation would show that politicians, Big Pharma, and the global elite are all responsible for this massive opportunistic fraud; so too are supine ‘scientists’ and ‘health experts’.
No such investigation is likely. Never have so many opposing voices been suppressed as during the UK’s pandemic response, never has a government relied for advice on people whose livelihoods and future careers are so closely tied to one industry, including being funded by and holding shares in vaccine companies.
Politicians claim to follow ‘the science’; they tell voters to trust them. Both are false claims. Science is an investigative method, a way of establishing how the world works, through observation and experiment. Science is not a religion, it has no doctrinal truths, and heresy is the only way that it progresses. Politicians, those publicly paid, democratically elected poodles, are not to be trusted. This last year proves it. QED. "
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/why-we-need-a-covid-nuremberg-trial/
"Questions would necessarily be asked about decisions to remove elderly ‘bed-blockers’ from NHS facilities into private ‘care homes’, about who issued clinical instructions not to use cheap and proven treatments, such as Ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine, and who decided to force experimental and unproven medical treatments on to the entire population and to deny liberty and freedom to those who resist.
Matters of state corruption must surely be examined, looking at how many excess deaths have there really been? What happened to influenza? How many identified reporting ‘errors’ does it take before a top official resigns? How long should ‘Test and Trace’ be allowed to fail before someone steps down?
Would the police or fraud investigators be able to establish who is benefiting from vaccine development and production? How many contracts for testing kits, PPE, handwash, and hotel quarantine rooms have been awarded to cronies and family contacts of politicians?
State corruption is unquestionably on the rise, without a whimper from opposition parties, and apparently with the collusion of the media, whose practitioners conduct their ‘business’ with wilful ignorance and craven compliance. Anybody who dares to speak truth to power is a Covid or vaccine denier, a covidiot or a granny killer.
A thoroughgoing investigation would show that politicians, Big Pharma, and the global elite are all responsible for this massive opportunistic fraud; so too are supine ‘scientists’ and ‘health experts’.
No such investigation is likely. Never have so many opposing voices been suppressed as during the UK’s pandemic response, never has a government relied for advice on people whose livelihoods and future careers are so closely tied to one industry, including being funded by and holding shares in vaccine companies.
Politicians claim to follow ‘the science’; they tell voters to trust them. Both are false claims. Science is an investigative method, a way of establishing how the world works, through observation and experiment. Science is not a religion, it has no doctrinal truths, and heresy is the only way that it progresses. Politicians, those publicly paid, democratically elected poodles, are not to be trusted. This last year proves it. QED. "
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/why-we-need-a-covid-nuremberg-trial/
The Conservative Woman
Why we need a Covid Nuremberg Trial - The Conservative Woman
"Israel’s Health Ministry decided to forbid serological to document past COVID-19 infection, “in its efforts to increase vaccination rates in the country.”
“As those who had COVID-19 in the past are exempt from inoculation and are eligible for a Green Pass – granting a slew of movement privileges – the demand for serological tests in hospitals and HMOs has increased of late.”
The Ministry, however, decided to significantly limit serological tests to specific medical inquiries and individuals who were vaccinated or infected abroad and wish to prove it when entering Israel. According to the report, Kupat Holim HMOs were unable to keep up with the growing demand for these tests."
https://www.americasfrontlinedoctors.com/israel-health-ministry-forbids-serological-tests-to-prove-past-covid-19-infection-in-effort-to-increase-vaccination-rates/
“As those who had COVID-19 in the past are exempt from inoculation and are eligible for a Green Pass – granting a slew of movement privileges – the demand for serological tests in hospitals and HMOs has increased of late.”
The Ministry, however, decided to significantly limit serological tests to specific medical inquiries and individuals who were vaccinated or infected abroad and wish to prove it when entering Israel. According to the report, Kupat Holim HMOs were unable to keep up with the growing demand for these tests."
https://www.americasfrontlinedoctors.com/israel-health-ministry-forbids-serological-tests-to-prove-past-covid-19-infection-in-effort-to-increase-vaccination-rates/
Jeremy Corbyn keeps getting it wrong. Is he simply misinformed? Is this bad faith party politics? I am trying to correct him here: https://twitter.com/robinmonotti3/status/1379414647233777666?s=19
Twitter
Robin Monotti MA FRSA🌸
@jeremycorbyn All scientific research has proven lockdowns do nothing to respiratory virus mortality rates. The reason is that 2/3rds of those are from hospital acquired infection, the rest are correlated to obesity & low vitamin D & zinc levels. Lockdowns…