Forwarded from Russia 101
I'm really tired of these rumors about war in Ukraine. The probability of Russians attacking first is very low. The probability that Ukrainians start offensive operation in Donbass and Russia will have to retaliate is higher.
Still, majority of Ukrainian politicians don't want the war, because Ukrainian economy cannot endure the conflict against Russia. It's not about obvious inability of Ukrainian troops to fight against full-scale Russian intervention.
In recent two years Ukrainian economy faced many challenges, especially in energy sector, and now every Ukrainian action in military sphere will lead to rolling blackouts without Russian gas and oil. This dependency is aggravated by spoiled relations between Belarus and Ukraine. I do not believe that in war scenario Belarus will let Russians attack Ukraine from its territory. Nevertheless, the transit of Russian oil and gas through Belarus will be stopped.
#international #Ukraine
Still, majority of Ukrainian politicians don't want the war, because Ukrainian economy cannot endure the conflict against Russia. It's not about obvious inability of Ukrainian troops to fight against full-scale Russian intervention.
In recent two years Ukrainian economy faced many challenges, especially in energy sector, and now every Ukrainian action in military sphere will lead to rolling blackouts without Russian gas and oil. This dependency is aggravated by spoiled relations between Belarus and Ukraine. I do not believe that in war scenario Belarus will let Russians attack Ukraine from its territory. Nevertheless, the transit of Russian oil and gas through Belarus will be stopped.
#international #Ukraine
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Ukraine, Kyiv area.
Quoting a friend: “Apparently killed by Ukrainians. There is a video where Azov commander allowed to shoot every person without blue bandage. Some dead have white bandages, which is common for RU military. Russian reporter said civilians were wearing them to avoid Russian fire.” Note: Azov has a sizeable force in Kyiv.
In summary:
Mar 30: Ru troops leave Bucha
Mar 31: Mayor of Bucha announces town 'liberated', makes no mention of atrocities. (Ukrinform)
Apr 1/2: Azov Nazis enter Bucha (NYT)
Apr 3: Ukr MinDef publishes video of 'Russian' atrocities (NYT)
twitter.com/MoonofA/statu…
Quoting a friend: “Apparently killed by Ukrainians. There is a video where Azov commander allowed to shoot every person without blue bandage. Some dead have white bandages, which is common for RU military. Russian reporter said civilians were wearing them to avoid Russian fire.” Note: Azov has a sizeable force in Kyiv.
In summary:
Mar 30: Ru troops leave Bucha
Mar 31: Mayor of Bucha announces town 'liberated', makes no mention of atrocities. (Ukrinform)
Apr 1/2: Azov Nazis enter Bucha (NYT)
Apr 3: Ukr MinDef publishes video of 'Russian' atrocities (NYT)
twitter.com/MoonofA/statu…
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This is fake news.
Russia could be simply rotating soldiers between Syria and Ukraine, and no evacuation of any Russian base/asset is taking place and being handed to Hezbullah or Iran. twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/…
Russia could be simply rotating soldiers between Syria and Ukraine, and no evacuation of any Russian base/asset is taking place and being handed to Hezbullah or Iran. twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/…
Twitter
Euromaidan PR
russia is sending troops from its bases in #Syria to the war with #Ukraine. And the bases are handed over to Hezbollah and the Iranians. This is another 'Hello' to #Israel after the anti-Semitic Jews from Lavrov. We wonder how much longer the Israelis will…
Forwarded from The Cradle
#Ukraine | Zelensky's chief of staff calls Russia "European Hezbollah," urges the Jews of the world to put pressure on "Israel" to send arms to Ukraine
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