The midterm is a knife fight for the seats still open. ๐ณ๏ธ Lige updates check this page.
โRepublicans hold the White House and thin majorities in both chambers. Democrats need net gains across the board:
โ๐ฅ House: Generic ballot averages D+8.3. DDHQ gives Democrats a 72% chance to take control, with forecasters eyeing a ~20-seat pickup.
๐ช Senate: A dead-heat coin flip (53Rโ47D). VP Vance breaks 50โ50 ties, meaning Democrats must hit 51.
โIt all hinges on 7 toss-up states: Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas.
โOut of 128 possible toss-up combinations:
โข 29 give Democrats the majority
โข 35 tie at 50โ50
โข 64 keep the GOP in power
โCall the toss-ups yourself and watch every route to 51 shift in real time:
๐ https://us-midterm-elections.grok.me
โ#Midterms #ElectionForecast #SenateBattle #Congress
โRepublicans hold the White House and thin majorities in both chambers. Democrats need net gains across the board:
โ๐ฅ House: Generic ballot averages D+8.3. DDHQ gives Democrats a 72% chance to take control, with forecasters eyeing a ~20-seat pickup.
๐ช Senate: A dead-heat coin flip (53Rโ47D). VP Vance breaks 50โ50 ties, meaning Democrats must hit 51.
โIt all hinges on 7 toss-up states: Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas.
โOut of 128 possible toss-up combinations:
โข 29 give Democrats the majority
โข 35 tie at 50โ50
โข 64 keep the GOP in power
โCall the toss-ups yourself and watch every route to 51 shift in real time:
๐ https://us-midterm-elections.grok.me
โ#Midterms #ElectionForecast #SenateBattle #Congress
โค10๐ฅ4
๐ง๐ท THE POLITICAL SCENE IN BRAZIL TOOK A COMPLETE TURN! ๐จ
LULA DID FRAUD....It's mathematically impossible for Congress to have that result and Lula to win!
Many celebrated or lamented the presidential victory of #Lula, but the real battle was decided in Congress, and the numbers don't lie: the left will govern with its hands tied.
In the first round, the opposition and the center-right achieved a crushing victory, snatching control of both chambers from the left.
Here is what the new map of legislative power looks like:
๐ณ๏ธ SENATE (81 seats | Majority: 41)
Right: 48 seats (59.3%) ๐ต
Absolute majority consolidated!
Others: 33 seats (40.7%) โช
๐ณ๏ธ CHAMBER OF DEPUTIES (513 seats | Majority: 257)
Right: 303 seats (59.1%) ๐ต
Center: 86 seats (16.8%) ๐ก
Left: Only 124 seats (24.2%) ๐ด
(Far from being able to influence on its own).
What does this mean? That any reform, budget, or law will have to pass through a gigantic opposition containment wall.
The new government faces a historic Congress that will give it no respite.
Do you think this counterweight is what Brazil needs to avoid polarization, or will it paralyze the country?
#Brazil #LatamPolitics #Congress #Democracy #Lula #BrazilElections #BalanceOfPower
LULA DID FRAUD....It's mathematically impossible for Congress to have that result and Lula to win!
Many celebrated or lamented the presidential victory of #Lula, but the real battle was decided in Congress, and the numbers don't lie: the left will govern with its hands tied.
In the first round, the opposition and the center-right achieved a crushing victory, snatching control of both chambers from the left.
Here is what the new map of legislative power looks like:
๐ณ๏ธ SENATE (81 seats | Majority: 41)
Right: 48 seats (59.3%) ๐ต
Absolute majority consolidated!
Others: 33 seats (40.7%) โช
๐ณ๏ธ CHAMBER OF DEPUTIES (513 seats | Majority: 257)
Right: 303 seats (59.1%) ๐ต
Center: 86 seats (16.8%) ๐ก
Left: Only 124 seats (24.2%) ๐ด
(Far from being able to influence on its own).
What does this mean? That any reform, budget, or law will have to pass through a gigantic opposition containment wall.
The new government faces a historic Congress that will give it no respite.
Do you think this counterweight is what Brazil needs to avoid polarization, or will it paralyze the country?
#Brazil #LatamPolitics #Congress #Democracy #Lula #BrazilElections #BalanceOfPower
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