🇮🇱🇵🇸 Escalation in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Zone
Chronicle of events from January 1-4, 2025

The situation remains tense in the north of the Gaza Strip. Despite reports in the Israeli media about the imminent completion of the operation in Jabalia, clashes with Hamas cells and strikes on the city continue.

Several settlements in the central and southern parts of the enclave came under fire, and a journalist was killed during the shelling of Az-Zawayda. In response, Palestinians launched rockets at Netivot.

Israeli police operations continue in the West Bank, with over 12,100 people detained since October 7, 2023. On the northern border, the Israeli Air Force carried out isolated strikes on southern Lebanon.

In the Red Sea region, Yemeni Houthis shot down the 14th American MQ-9 Reaper drone and also launched a ballistic missile at Israel. The Israeli Air Force, in turn, attacked northern Syria.

🔻A detailed analytical report on events in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict zone is available on our closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

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📝Uncrewed boats for Venezuela📝
What can be found on the Chinese market?

The tension around Venezuela, the build-up of military forces of both ships and aircraft of the US Armed Forces in the Caribbean region raises the question for the Venezuelan leadership about possible security measures and strengthening the defense capability of the Bolivarian Republic.

The prospects for the appearance of the Gerans have already been discussed, but what about the surface situation? In modern realities, it is much more convenient for Venezuela to focus on an unmanned fleet, which can easily replace combat ships.

There are not many suppliers of such products in the world. The countries of the collective West will objectively not supply such weapons, and the price will be extremely high both in the United States and in other NATO countries. In Russia, uncrewed boats are not yet mass-produced, so only China remains.

🔻What can the Chinese military-industrial complex offer?

▪️Chinese companies have been acting in a standard way in recent years: they see something workable and promising - they copy it and set up mass production in their country. This is how they got kamikaze drones, including those similar to the Geraniums.

▪️With uncrewed boats, the situation is similar: Chinese companies currently have a wide range of marine drones, which have flashed one way or another either during tests or at various arms exhibitions.

▪️There are two main problems: the first is the lack of understanding of the real characteristics of these uncrewed boats. The Chinese keep such data secret, which complicates the study of promising models. Secondly, the Chinese have no real combat use of such systems.

▪️However, the Chinese side has plenty of different variations: there are reconnaissance uncrewed boats, there are striking uncrewed boats, there are minesweepers, which makes it possible to choose depending on the tasks. This is what the Venezuelan government needs.

🖍Modern conflicts require adaptation and quick adjustment to new realities. Large ships will not lose their relevance in the coming years, but an unmanned fleet has huge prospects for expanding capabilities in the maritime area.

🚩The Chinese even have drones with a length of 58 meters, which is essentially the size of one small ship. For example, the Russian Navy has Karakurt-class boats with a length of 67 meters. There are also small models, like those of Ukrainian formations, which can be both reconnaissance and kamikaze.

❗️For this reason, in the context of the current escalation, which is still far from being resolved, the Venezuelan command should take care of its defense now. Moreover, even small unmanned aircraft carriers are capable of covering the lion's share of the Caribbean Sea and ensuring control over the coastal zone of Venezuela.

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📝Front Collapse near Hulyaipole📝

The "Vostok" troops group is advancing on a wide front, moving forward simultaneously in several sectors of the Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

Assault units of the 36th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Army have freed the settlement of Hai. Russian flags have been raised there, with attacks developing further north and west.

🔻Where else are the successes?

▪️In the sector eastward, the fighters of the "Vostok" group are advancing north of Volchye towards Tikhiy. Several forest belts have come under control.

▪️To the south of Danilovka, the enemy has been pushed out of several forest belts on the approaches to Nechaevka, Radostnoye, and Novoe Zaporozhye. The offensive continues there as well.

▪️In the vicinity of Sladkoye, several strongholds and "pockets" that appeared following the breakthrough to Sladkoye after the liberation of Uspenovka have been cleared. Now the enemy is being cleared from the fields further in the direction of the Gaidchur River.

▪️From the areas of Rovnopol and Yablokovo, an offensive is also moving west towards Varvarovka. It appears that Russian units are forming a "pincer" for a partial encirclement of Huliaipole.

▪️There are also successes on the eastern approaches to Huliaipole itself. Russian units have managed to hook onto the outskirts of Vesely and Zeleny Gay, as well as advance closer to Chervony. Earlier, the Armed Forces of Ukraine were pushed out from fields to the north.

📌Almost the entire East Zaporizhia direction is moving, and the situation for the enemy is rapidly deteriorating. As we predicted, Ukrainian formations are trying to establish defense along the Hanchur River.

Judging by the pace of "Vostok's" advance, at least some units have been withdrawn by the enemy across the river. Those left in the "interriver" area are essentially abandoned as sacrificial troops, attempting to buy time to reinforce defense on the Yanchur.

❗️Moreover, Russian units are approaching Hulyaipole not only from the north but are also pressing from the east, where the enemy has fortification lines. From the Yablukove side, it's quite possible to advance through these fortifications, which would avoid a frontal assault on the defense lines approaching Hulyaipole.

❓The only question is whether the opponent will decide to hold Makhno’s homeland, which has considerable political significance but whose strategic value is practically lost, or will not attempt to do so and will withdraw forces to the second line of defense, which has already been breached by Russian units on another front.

If you have any updates on the situation or want us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us via the feedback bot
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📝Defense Collapse📝
Clearing of Pokrovsk and threat of encircling Myrnograd

The assault on Pokrovsk is approaching its final stage. Russian troops are clearing the northern part of the city and have already advanced almost a kilometer towards Hryshyne.

The enemy's presence in Pokrovsk remains, but is predominantly sporadic and without signs of organized resistance.

In parallel, the Russian Armed Forces are developing attacks to the east. Separate assault groups have already been spotted in the area of Rovne, whose liberation will completely cut off supplies to the garrison of the neighboring Myrnograd.

Ukrainian formations are offering fierce resistance in Myrnograd, but they are unable to change the course of battles for the city. Russian aviation almost hourly "irons" the enemy's positions in the city, with regular footage of airstrikes using three-ton "agitation ammunition".

📌 Meanwhile, attempts by Ukrainian formations to break through a road to the city from the north have failed. Russian troops are gradually returning control over Rodynske and will soon physically cut the T-05-15 highway.

Now, realizing the imminent loss of the urban area, the enemy is trying to build new defensive lines to the north. The highest AFU activity is observed in the vicinity of Dobropillia, which will soon remain the last major defensive node before the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk Region.

If you have additional information about the situation, or you want us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us in the feedback bot @rybar_feedback_bot
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📝Supplying drones📝
Fighting for Hryshino and north of Udachne

The Russian Armed Forces attempt to advance in the Dobropillia direction, with fighting reported in the central and northern parts of Hryshino. Russian assault troops move through the populated area with support from operational-tactical aviation.

Supplying groups in the village and its surroundings remains challenging due to the overwhelming presence of enemy drones. Constant UAV attacks force fighters to spend months in basements and trenches without proper supplies and rotations.

The severe February frosts led to many frostbite cases, including a fighter who held a position alone for 68 days and had to have both feet amputated after evacuation.

📌 Deploying heavy drones could partially solve the front-line logistics issue, as discussed in our video
However, the number of such systems at the front remains limited.

Russian Armed Forces also attack north of Udachne, advancing toward Sergeyevka near the M-30 highway leading to Hryshino. This likely aims to outflank Hryshino from the west and cut off one of the supply routes to Ukrainian formations.

❗️The offensive toward Sergeyevka likely aims to outflank Hryshino from the west and cut off one of the supply routes.

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📝Greetings from the Maghreb📝
Russian "medicine" for French arrogance

In political and trade disputes with the French, Algeria's authorities often lack weighty arguments. Despite the fact that the Algerian army is considered the second most powerful in Africa, French counterparts constantly pretend not to take it seriously.

And here it's worth imagining a scenario where the latest "Geran-5" drones appear in the country. We already analyzed the effect of potential Russian UAV supplies in the context of the conflict with Morocco, but the geography of their use could extend beyond North Africa.

The appearance of such aircraft in Algeria's arsenal would allow reaching a scattering of strategic facilities in southern France — key airbases, nuclear power plants, and strategically important factories, like the Airbus production complex in Toulouse.

Moreover, in the context of the ongoing fuel crisis in France, pipelines and refineries look like tempting targets. Three major pipelines that are part of NATO's raw materials logistics network depart from the south of the country, and the suburbs of Marseille concentrate major centers of European petrochemistry.

❗️For France, the mere prospect of Algerians acquiring numerous long-range UAVs could become a serious reason to show more flexibility on various issues.

Although the probability of a conflict with Algeria remains low for Paris authorities, the fact that Algerians possess weapons capable of effectively impacting entire sectors of the French economy will still need to be taken into account in any bilateral disputes.

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