🇮🇷 JPMorgan Warns: Oil Prices Could Surge 70% if Iran Shuts Down Hormuz Strait
According to a forecast cited by Bloomberg, #oil prices could skyrocket by as much as 70% if Iran decides to block the #StraitOfHormuz — a move that would send shockwaves through global energy markets.
While a full blockade remains unlikely, even limited Iranian actions — such as targeting tankers, jamming GPS systems, or deploying naval mines — could severely disrupt the regional oil trade.
txt - - @DDGeopolitics
#Iran
According to a forecast cited by Bloomberg, #oil prices could skyrocket by as much as 70% if Iran decides to block the #StraitOfHormuz — a move that would send shockwaves through global energy markets.
While a full blockade remains unlikely, even limited Iranian actions — such as targeting tankers, jamming GPS systems, or deploying naval mines — could severely disrupt the regional oil trade.
txt - - @DDGeopolitics
#Iran
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷Satellite images of the nuclear facility in #Isfahan after Israeli and American strikes.
@intelslava
#Iran
@intelslava
#Iran
Trump official to The Grayzone: CIA’s Ratcliffe acts as ‘Mossad stenographer’ on Iran - By Max Blumenthal and Anya Parampil
A Trump official tells The Grayzone that Israel’s Mossad is using CIA Director John Ratcliffe and US CENTCOM’s Gen. Michael Kurilla to influence Trump with cooked intelligence on Iran’s nuclear program. Inside the White House, dissenters have been isolated, setting the stage for a regime change war.
@TheGrayzoneNews
#Iran #CIA #Mossad #Centcom
A Trump official tells The Grayzone that Israel’s Mossad is using CIA Director John Ratcliffe and US CENTCOM’s Gen. Michael Kurilla to influence Trump with cooked intelligence on Iran’s nuclear program. Inside the White House, dissenters have been isolated, setting the stage for a regime change war.
@TheGrayzoneNews
#Iran #CIA #Mossad #Centcom
🇮🇷FYI: US only has 20 GBU-57 bombs (as of 2015).
They already used up 14 (70% of their stockpile) and only damaged #Fordow to an extent. The main sensitive facilities are likely not even damaged, buried deep down the mountain.
@FotrosResistancee
#Iran
They already used up 14 (70% of their stockpile) and only damaged #Fordow to an extent. The main sensitive facilities are likely not even damaged, buried deep down the mountain.
@FotrosResistancee
#Iran
🇮🇷 | Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqir Qalibaf has officially announced that Iran has suspended all cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) effectively expelling the agency’s oversight from Iran. [in short - #Iran kicked out #IAEA).
@enemywatch
@enemywatch
🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Qatar
- Americans and British in Qatar urged to stay indoors except for essential needs.
- Qatar announces airspace closure and suspension of all flights.
- Speculation and indications suggest Iran may attack a U.S. base in Qatar, from which attacks were launched.
@TheSimurgh313
#Iran #Qatar
- Americans and British in Qatar urged to stay indoors except for essential needs.
- Qatar announces airspace closure and suspension of all flights.
- Speculation and indications suggest Iran may attack a U.S. base in Qatar, from which attacks were launched.
@TheSimurgh313
#Iran #Qatar
🇮🇷In Iran, on the "wasteland" of the #Natanz site, a second impact was discovered, right in the center of a building covered with a multi-layer concrete/earth slab, which had been poured in 2002-2003, according to historical satellite images.
By adding a final layer of earth on top, the Iranian bureaucrats thought that their adversary would not know where to shoot?
In #Isfahan , since the infrastructure was not underground, cruise missiles were used to destroy the buildings.
The extreme precision of all impacts is noteworthy. The hegemon's competitors have their work cut out for them.
Iran launched further salvos of ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation, including one with multiple warheads.
Several warheads penetrated Israeli anti-aircraft fire, landing everywhere as usual. An electrical substation was hit.
Some Iranian projectiles or drones that have been shot down fall back into Jordan, including on cities.
Iran also scored another confirmed aerial victory, this time against an Israeli drone.
In response, Israel has intensively bombarded military bases around Tehran and a large number of military targets, energy infrastructure, telecommunications, police services, and even the gate of a prison where political prisoners are held. The aim is to incite chaos in the country (remember , there is no pro-Western political force likely to seize power).
Late in the afternoon , it was learned that Iran was likely to attack a US airbase in #Qatar, which had been emptied of its aircraft two days earlier . This was a symbolic response to the symbolic #US attacks on sites that had also been evacuated two days in advance (however, Iran must have lost a lot of equipment that had not been evacuated). Qatar closed its airspace in advance to accommodate "possible" Iranian missiles. Pro-Iranian militias are also likely to attack US bases in Iraq in particular.
In the early evening , a few Iranian missiles expected at the al-Udeid air base in Qatar arrived, as if by chance, only 6 in number. Then, projectiles fell on the Ein al Asad air base in Iraq. No Iranian projectile hit the ground. But Iran accompanied this with an extremely warlike statement, explaining that it had pulverized the American headquarters in the Middle East
Of course, this is another pre-arranged strike . The US does not even hide this , sabotaging the arrangement with Tehran intended to give it authority.
Oil prices plummet after Iran's symbolic attack, the drama is apparently over, and threats to the Strait of Hormuz have been canceled. Nevertheless, the war continues.
https://t.me/ZZ_0Z_Z0ZZ_fr/4153
#Iran
By adding a final layer of earth on top, the Iranian bureaucrats thought that their adversary would not know where to shoot?
In #Isfahan , since the infrastructure was not underground, cruise missiles were used to destroy the buildings.
The extreme precision of all impacts is noteworthy. The hegemon's competitors have their work cut out for them.
Iran launched further salvos of ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation, including one with multiple warheads.
Several warheads penetrated Israeli anti-aircraft fire, landing everywhere as usual. An electrical substation was hit.
Some Iranian projectiles or drones that have been shot down fall back into Jordan, including on cities.
Iran also scored another confirmed aerial victory, this time against an Israeli drone.
In response, Israel has intensively bombarded military bases around Tehran and a large number of military targets, energy infrastructure, telecommunications, police services, and even the gate of a prison where political prisoners are held. The aim is to incite chaos in the country (remember , there is no pro-Western political force likely to seize power).
Late in the afternoon , it was learned that Iran was likely to attack a US airbase in #Qatar, which had been emptied of its aircraft two days earlier . This was a symbolic response to the symbolic #US attacks on sites that had also been evacuated two days in advance (however, Iran must have lost a lot of equipment that had not been evacuated). Qatar closed its airspace in advance to accommodate "possible" Iranian missiles. Pro-Iranian militias are also likely to attack US bases in Iraq in particular.
In the early evening , a few Iranian missiles expected at the al-Udeid air base in Qatar arrived, as if by chance, only 6 in number. Then, projectiles fell on the Ein al Asad air base in Iraq. No Iranian projectile hit the ground. But Iran accompanied this with an extremely warlike statement, explaining that it had pulverized the American headquarters in the Middle East
Of course, this is another pre-arranged strike . The US does not even hide this , sabotaging the arrangement with Tehran intended to give it authority.
Oil prices plummet after Iran's symbolic attack, the drama is apparently over, and threats to the Strait of Hormuz have been canceled. Nevertheless, the war continues.
https://t.me/ZZ_0Z_Z0ZZ_fr/4153
#Iran
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President Trump on Israel and Iran: "We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don’t know what the fuck they’re doing."
@Slavyangrad
#Iran
@Slavyangrad
#Iran
🇮🇷Sergey Shilov takes stock of the West's short war against Iran:
"Israel has once again demonstrated its technical superiority and its ability to conduct unconventional actions. The start and scale of the operation were unexpected for Iran. Israel has gained air superiority over Tehran and the west of the country.
The obvious lesson here is that control of the skies is key.
The experience of this war will undoubtedly be studied by all countries of the world and will promote the development of future air defense systems, which are currently proving obsolete when faced with an adversary using modern technologies.
Has Israel succeeded in destroying Iran's nuclear program? I doubt it. However, it has undoubtedly succeeded in slowing its development. The Mossad hacked into uranium enrichment centrifuges through cyberattacks in the 1990s and 2000s, carried out sabotage in Lebanon, and supplied booby-trapped equipment through "grey companies" and their agents.
Today, we are witnessing a much more serious situation. In Israel, Netanyahu's actions will be presented as a victory, although his opponents will try to use this war against him.
Iran has demonstrated its ability to withstand a heavy blow after a heavy defeat. It was able to respond, albeit after a delay, with its strategic forces.
Despite the losses, the immediate destruction of its air defense and mobile missile systems, the military potential of the Persians, accumulated over the years, demonstrated that only a prolonged and unfavorable war for the enemy could break them.
By cutting off internet access, the Persians have significantly reduced the effectiveness of Israeli propaganda on the Iranian population. Iran has demonstrated the loyalty of its population: it is too soon to bury the Islamic regime, despite the presence of numerous Israeli agents and many disaffected people.
During the negotiations, Iran showed its reluctance to capitulate, and was able to agree with Washington on an end-of-conflict scenario, similar to those of previous years, during which both sides agreed on symbolic false strikes.
However, the biggest problems await Iran during the lull, when economic difficulties resurface and the population begins to protest. It is unlikely that Western economic sanctions will be lifted. All this will only intensify the internal struggles within the country. The Persians may well move their capital south from Tehran, a project that has been under discussion for some time. But this also carries dangers.
Will the Iranians be able to build the bomb? The question remains open, but the example of North Korea, spared by Trump, will push them even further.
America, represented by Trump, has once again demonstrated that the West's word cannot be trusted. There is nothing to argue with them: they only understand force.
The Iranian regime has not fallen, and the Strait of Hormuz, which is especially important for China, the US's main economic rival, and for energy supplies to Europe, another US rival, has not been closed. However, the United States will not give up its attempts to destabilize Iran and cut off China's economic routes.
Moreover, Trump has opened the "Overton Window" for Russia, openly discussing the possibility of the US using nuclear weapons again. This is no joke. Everything always starts with chatter.
This "12-day war" may have saved everyone's face, but in reality no one achieved all of their objectives, so the war will resume later.
https://t.me/bayraktar1070/4647
#Iran
"Israel has once again demonstrated its technical superiority and its ability to conduct unconventional actions. The start and scale of the operation were unexpected for Iran. Israel has gained air superiority over Tehran and the west of the country.
The obvious lesson here is that control of the skies is key.
The experience of this war will undoubtedly be studied by all countries of the world and will promote the development of future air defense systems, which are currently proving obsolete when faced with an adversary using modern technologies.
Has Israel succeeded in destroying Iran's nuclear program? I doubt it. However, it has undoubtedly succeeded in slowing its development. The Mossad hacked into uranium enrichment centrifuges through cyberattacks in the 1990s and 2000s, carried out sabotage in Lebanon, and supplied booby-trapped equipment through "grey companies" and their agents.
Today, we are witnessing a much more serious situation. In Israel, Netanyahu's actions will be presented as a victory, although his opponents will try to use this war against him.
Iran has demonstrated its ability to withstand a heavy blow after a heavy defeat. It was able to respond, albeit after a delay, with its strategic forces.
Despite the losses, the immediate destruction of its air defense and mobile missile systems, the military potential of the Persians, accumulated over the years, demonstrated that only a prolonged and unfavorable war for the enemy could break them.
By cutting off internet access, the Persians have significantly reduced the effectiveness of Israeli propaganda on the Iranian population. Iran has demonstrated the loyalty of its population: it is too soon to bury the Islamic regime, despite the presence of numerous Israeli agents and many disaffected people.
During the negotiations, Iran showed its reluctance to capitulate, and was able to agree with Washington on an end-of-conflict scenario, similar to those of previous years, during which both sides agreed on symbolic false strikes.
However, the biggest problems await Iran during the lull, when economic difficulties resurface and the population begins to protest. It is unlikely that Western economic sanctions will be lifted. All this will only intensify the internal struggles within the country. The Persians may well move their capital south from Tehran, a project that has been under discussion for some time. But this also carries dangers.
Will the Iranians be able to build the bomb? The question remains open, but the example of North Korea, spared by Trump, will push them even further.
America, represented by Trump, has once again demonstrated that the West's word cannot be trusted. There is nothing to argue with them: they only understand force.
The Iranian regime has not fallen, and the Strait of Hormuz, which is especially important for China, the US's main economic rival, and for energy supplies to Europe, another US rival, has not been closed. However, the United States will not give up its attempts to destabilize Iran and cut off China's economic routes.
Moreover, Trump has opened the "Overton Window" for Russia, openly discussing the possibility of the US using nuclear weapons again. This is no joke. Everything always starts with chatter.
This "12-day war" may have saved everyone's face, but in reality no one achieved all of their objectives, so the war will resume later.
https://t.me/bayraktar1070/4647
#Iran
Telegram
Свидетели Байрактара
Иран-Израиль. Беглые мысли по итогам перемирия
Израиль вновь продемонстрировал свое техническое превосходство и способность к нестандартным действиям. Начало и масштабы операции стали внезапными для Ирана. Израиль обеспечил себе превосходство в воздухе над…
Израиль вновь продемонстрировал свое техническое превосходство и способность к нестандартным действиям. Начало и масштабы операции стали внезапными для Ирана. Израиль обеспечил себе превосходство в воздухе над…
🇮🇷The unspoken truth about the Iranian nuclear program, by Thierry Meyssan | Voltairenet ( not full translation*)
The stakes of Iran's nuclear program are not what we think. Tehran renounced the atomic bomb in 1988, but is attempting, with Russia's cooperation, to discover the secrets of nuclear fusion. If it succeeds, it would help the Southern states decolonize by freeing themselves from oil.
As for the stakes of the bombing of certain Iranian nuclear sites by the United States, they may also not be what we think. This affair is all the more opaque because it is currently impossible to establish a clear distinction between research on civilian #NuclearFusion and military fusion.
#Iran
1/4
The stakes of Iran's nuclear program are not what we think. Tehran renounced the atomic bomb in 1988, but is attempting, with Russia's cooperation, to discover the secrets of nuclear fusion. If it succeeds, it would help the Southern states decolonize by freeing themselves from oil.
As for the stakes of the bombing of certain Iranian nuclear sites by the United States, they may also not be what we think. This affair is all the more opaque because it is currently impossible to establish a clear distinction between research on civilian #NuclearFusion and military fusion.
#Iran
1/4
- -
It should also be remembered that Iran is a signatory to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). It is for this reason that it is subject to inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Since 1988, the IAEA has never found any evidence suggesting that Iran still has a military nuclear program. However, the Agency has asked numerous questions to clarify certain aspects of its civilian program and has not received any answers, which is perfectly understandable given the investment in Iranian-Russian fusion research. In practice, the documents released by the Iranian press two days before the Israeli attack attest that the director of the IAEA, the Argentinian Rafael Grossi, behaves like a spy in the service of Israel, to which he transmits all the information from its inspectors; this is despite the fact that Israel is not a signatory to the NPT and therefore not a member of the IAEA.
On 4 May 2010, Tehran submitted a proposal to the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations NPT for the "Establishment of a Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East" [1]. This proposal was welcomed by all the states in the region, with the exception of Israel. Indeed, Tel Aviv, which benefited from transfers of French technology from senior officials of the Fourth Republic, possesses the atomic bomb [2].
4/4
#Iran
It should also be remembered that Iran is a signatory to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). It is for this reason that it is subject to inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Since 1988, the IAEA has never found any evidence suggesting that Iran still has a military nuclear program. However, the Agency has asked numerous questions to clarify certain aspects of its civilian program and has not received any answers, which is perfectly understandable given the investment in Iranian-Russian fusion research. In practice, the documents released by the Iranian press two days before the Israeli attack attest that the director of the IAEA, the Argentinian Rafael Grossi, behaves like a spy in the service of Israel, to which he transmits all the information from its inspectors; this is despite the fact that Israel is not a signatory to the NPT and therefore not a member of the IAEA.
On 4 May 2010, Tehran submitted a proposal to the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations NPT for the "Establishment of a Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East" [1]. This proposal was welcomed by all the states in the region, with the exception of Israel. Indeed, Tel Aviv, which benefited from transfers of French technology from senior officials of the Fourth Republic, possesses the atomic bomb [2].
4/4
#Iran
Forwarded from 🇵🇸 Automated Apartheid in Palestine
🇵🇸The Abraham Shield: Israel’s New Blueprint for Regional Control After Gaza | DDgeopolitics
As the latest #Gaza #ceasefire teeters into effect and Trump pushes for #Saudi-Israeli #normalization, Israel’s security establishment has unveiled its next regional blueprint: the Abraham Shield Plan.
Framed as a utopian vision for Middle East stability, the plan is being sold as a solution to #hostages, #Hamas, #Hezbollah, and #Iran all at once. Behind the think-tank language of “stability” and “security,” though, lies a familiar reality: a militarized, #US-backed strategy to consolidate Israeli control across Gaza, southern #Lebanon, #Syria, and the broader region.
Launched by a new Israeli lobbying group called the Coalition for Regional Security, the #AbrahamShield lays out a multi-front containment architecture. It blends old tools—airstrikes, blockades, occupation—with new ones: #technocratic governance models, digital #surveillance, economic isolation, and transactional diplomacy with Arab states
#Palestine
As the latest #Gaza #ceasefire teeters into effect and Trump pushes for #Saudi-Israeli #normalization, Israel’s security establishment has unveiled its next regional blueprint: the Abraham Shield Plan.
Framed as a utopian vision for Middle East stability, the plan is being sold as a solution to #hostages, #Hamas, #Hezbollah, and #Iran all at once. Behind the think-tank language of “stability” and “security,” though, lies a familiar reality: a militarized, #US-backed strategy to consolidate Israeli control across Gaza, southern #Lebanon, #Syria, and the broader region.
Launched by a new Israeli lobbying group called the Coalition for Regional Security, the #AbrahamShield lays out a multi-front containment architecture. It blends old tools—airstrikes, blockades, occupation—with new ones: #technocratic governance models, digital #surveillance, economic isolation, and transactional diplomacy with Arab states
#Palestine
The war on Iran has not ended, it's simply on pause.
Usrael has consistently articulated a strategic objective of ensuring the complete dismantlement of Iran's nuclear capabilities. This stance has perpetuated a protracted standoff, characterized by Western diplomatic negotiations, economic sanctions, and intermittent threats of military action culminating in the recent, unprovoked attacks. The U.S. and Israel have not given up on their objectives to end Iran's nuclear program by any means, including regime change, and to break Iran's partnership with China and Russia in order to disrupt their trade and energy routes.
In this context, Iran faces a complex set of strategic choices to safeguard its national interests while navigating intense international pressure. One potential course of action involves deepening cooperation with North Korea, a state with its own history of nuclear development and defiance of Western demands.
Strengthening ties with China and Russia could enhance Iran's strategic depth. However, these partnerships may offer limited technological or military support specific to nuclear ambitions. China and Russia pursue a delicate balancing act in the Middle East, seeking to maintain relations with multiple, often conflicting, regional powers. Overt support for Iran, particularly on contentious issues like its nuclear program, risks alienating these other partners. Backing Iran too aggressively could jeopardize these relationships, especially given the Sunni-Shia divide. China’s 2023 mediation of the Iran-Saudi rapprochement reflects its preference for neutrality to preserve influence across the region. In short, China and Russia face serious strategic constraints in the Middle East and have repeatedly shown a preference for treading carefully. Since North Korea doesn't face similar constraints in the region, deepening cooperation with North Korea could represent a high-reward strategy for Iran.
@LauraRuHK
#Iran
Usrael has consistently articulated a strategic objective of ensuring the complete dismantlement of Iran's nuclear capabilities. This stance has perpetuated a protracted standoff, characterized by Western diplomatic negotiations, economic sanctions, and intermittent threats of military action culminating in the recent, unprovoked attacks. The U.S. and Israel have not given up on their objectives to end Iran's nuclear program by any means, including regime change, and to break Iran's partnership with China and Russia in order to disrupt their trade and energy routes.
In this context, Iran faces a complex set of strategic choices to safeguard its national interests while navigating intense international pressure. One potential course of action involves deepening cooperation with North Korea, a state with its own history of nuclear development and defiance of Western demands.
Strengthening ties with China and Russia could enhance Iran's strategic depth. However, these partnerships may offer limited technological or military support specific to nuclear ambitions. China and Russia pursue a delicate balancing act in the Middle East, seeking to maintain relations with multiple, often conflicting, regional powers. Overt support for Iran, particularly on contentious issues like its nuclear program, risks alienating these other partners. Backing Iran too aggressively could jeopardize these relationships, especially given the Sunni-Shia divide. China’s 2023 mediation of the Iran-Saudi rapprochement reflects its preference for neutrality to preserve influence across the region. In short, China and Russia face serious strategic constraints in the Middle East and have repeatedly shown a preference for treading carefully. Since North Korea doesn't face similar constraints in the region, deepening cooperation with North Korea could represent a high-reward strategy for Iran.
@LauraRuHK
#Iran
Forwarded from Rybar in English
Why Everyone in Iran is Deleting WhatsApp
Against the backdrop of escalating conflict with Israel, the Iranian authorities have been actively urging citizens to immediately delete WhatsApp. The reason is the fear that the app collects data and transmits it to Israeli intelligence agencies.
And this is without taking into account the famous Pegasus and the Lavender project, which the IDF uses to track and eliminate targets in the Gaza Strip.
Therefore, the sooner we learn from the example of Iran and realize that WhatsApp is not a messenger, but a surveillance tool, and take the necessary measures to block it - the better.
#technology #AI #Iran #Israel
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TIME
Why Iran Is Urging Residents to Delete WhatsApp Amid Israel Conflict—and WhatsApp’s Response
A WhatsApp spokesperson told TIME that the messaging platform is concerned about the reports.
Starlink’s Secret War: How #Musk Is Powering a Covert Campaign Against Iran
https://www.mintpressnews.com/elon-musk-starlink-iran-regime-change/290096/
@MintPress
#Iran #Starlink
https://www.mintpressnews.com/elon-musk-starlink-iran-regime-change/290096/
@MintPress
#Iran #Starlink
MintPress News
Starlink's Secret War: How Musk Is Powering a Covert Campaign Against Iran
After a Trump advisor called for regime change, Musk activated Starlink to aid a covert U.S. effort to undermine Iran’s government.
Russia, Israel holding 'high-level' talks on Syria, Iran: Report | The Cradle
A silent partnership between #Russia and Israel regarding #Syria and #Iran has become apparent since Sharaa took power in #Damascus with #US and #UK backing.
In February, Reuters reported on a white paper issued by Israel saying that top Israeli officials were lobbying their US counterparts to ensure that Syria remains “weak and decentralized” by allowing Russia to keep its air and naval bases on the Syrian coast as a counter to Turkish influence.
A silent partnership between #Russia and Israel regarding #Syria and #Iran has become apparent since Sharaa took power in #Damascus with #US and #UK backing.
In February, Reuters reported on a white paper issued by Israel saying that top Israeli officials were lobbying their US counterparts to ensure that Syria remains “weak and decentralized” by allowing Russia to keep its air and naval bases on the Syrian coast as a counter to Turkish influence.
Media is too big
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Tucker Carlson Thursday July 03, 2025
Scott Horton: Coups, WMDs, & #CIA – A Deep Dive Into What Led to the US/israeli War With #Iran
https://youtu.be/_HVGLCRp3I8
Scott Horton: Coups, WMDs, & #CIA – A Deep Dive Into What Led to the US/israeli War With #Iran
https://youtu.be/_HVGLCRp3I8
Media is too big
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Shadow Empire: How #israel and the west created the islamic state of #iran
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cshU0XCMWQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cshU0XCMWQ